Add breath anticipate bank of the foreign capital in warming up once more stimulates argue Central Bank to add breath

Origin: Author: Stand originallyTime: 2008-10-27Tag: Click:
Near future market is added breath anticipate warm up once more, benefit empty shadow envelops the stock market, bank be the first drop greatly. Nevertheless economist exists to this judgement a lot of difference.

Newest report says ministry of money market of whole world of Bank of China, at present China faces the inflationary pressure, pressure that still faces revaluation capital to flow into however external internally, the change of interest rate is hurt surely firstly. Besides, price index is consumed in the dweller (below the trend that CPI) presents fall after a rise, add breath criterion to become lack a base more it seems that, because this looks from constant manage, can move to add once more to Central Bank of the China inside the near future breath support distrustful attitude.

Report and say, the open market in June puts in completely, finance sex deposit is poured out of and foreign currency occupies a paragraph to release an element to will cause fundamental money measure to increase apparently, predict only month growth will exceed 6, 0 yuan of RMBs, and legal deposit reserve moves 1% makings to pull monetary multiplicator on rate low about 0.2, supply of broad sense money adds fast hopeful compared to the same period that month from May 18.1% fall after a rise arrive about 17.4% , can regard as have remarkable fall after a rise.

Accordingly, july the Central Bank go up once more the probability that moves legal deposit reserve to lead is reduced, in short-term inside makings of macroscopical finance data is not sent add more nominal to anticipate.

"Look for less than allowing that why to want to add the reason of breath almost now. " the bank that start line of business (601166, ) chief economist Lu Zheng appoint express, if reason considers, current shortage imposes any requirement of breath, increase breath possibility to the end of July at least very small. "Last year also is to be passed a lot of times add breath, but did not add finally. And reach from Zhou Xiaochuan's opinion on public affairs hard now add the conclusion of breath. And reach from Zhou Xiaochuan's opinion on public affairs hard now add the conclusion of breath..

But he and in travel point of view is different, he thinks, anticipate to cast off financial orgnaization flabby, participate in the circumstance with not active open market, flow into brought foreign currency to occupy a paragraph to increase to heatproof money at the same time, control impulse of financial orgnaization credit, had July go up once more the likelihood that moves reserve rate, executive time is in probably in July between 20-31 day. And the 3rd quarter announces interval of wave motion of enlarge RMB exchange rate possibly also.
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